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Qanoon Digest

Annual Budget Statement

The Annual Budget Statement is part of the federal budget for FY 2026-27. This page reproduces the text of its 57 PDF pages, extracted automatically from the official PDF published by the Finance Division, Government of Pakistan.

This text was extracted automatically from the PDF's text layer. Tables may lose their column alignment, and a page with no text layer is marked rather than guessed. Check the official PDF before relying on any figure.

Page 1

FEDERAL BUDGET
 2 0 2   - 2     6   7

    ANNUAL
    BUDGET
   STATEMENT

      GOVERNMENT OF PAKISTAN
           FINANCE DIVISION
             ISLAMABAD

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No text layer on this page, see the official PDF.

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                  PREFACE

      Annual Budget Statement  for FY2026-27  is  presented  to  the  National
Assembly in accordance with Article 80(1) of the Constitution of the Islamic
Republic of Pakistan, which requires the Federal Government to lay before the House
a statement of estimated  receipts and expenditures  for each  financial  year. In
accordance with Article 80(2), the statement separately reflects charged and voted
expenditures from the Federal Consolidated Fund and distinguishes expenditure on
revenue account from other expenditures. Under Article 73(1), the Annual Budget
Statement is also transmitted to the Senate.

       Pursuant to the statutory framework governing public financial management,
the Annual Budget Statement for FY2026-27 includes the Statement of Purpose,
Statement of Contingent Liabilities, and Statement of Fiscal Risks under Section 4 of
the Public Finance Management Act, 2019 (as amended to date), as well as the
Statement of Estimated Tax Expenditures under Section 8 thereof. These statements
strengthen  fiscal  transparency,  enhance  accountability, and  facilitate  informed
oversight of public finances.

       In accordance with Sections 5 and 10 of the Fiscal Responsibility and Debt
Limitation Act, 2005 (as amended to date), the Medium-Term Budgetary Statement
and Statements of Fiscal Responsibility are also presented as part of the Annual
Budget  Statement,  reflecting  the Government’s commitment  to  prudent  fiscal
management,  debt  sustainability,  and  a  credible  medium-term  macro-fiscal
framework.

       “Explanatory Memorandum on Federal Receipts” and “Demands for Grants
and Appropriations” serve as supporting documents of Annual Budget Statement for
FY2026-27 and provide detailed information on the Federal Government’s fiscal
proposals.

                              IMDAD ULLAH BOSAL
                                           Secretary to the Government of Pakistan
Finance Division
Islamabad, the 12th June, 2026

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CONTENTS                                         PAGE

I.     Summary of Receipts                                               1

II.     Revenue Receipts                                             2  - 4
III.     Capital Receipts                                                   5
IV.     External Receipts                                                  6

V.      Public Account Receipts                                       7  - 10
VI.    Summary of Expenditure                                          11
VII.    Current Expenditure on Revenue Account                       12 - 14
VIII.   Current Expenditure on Capital Account                             15
IX.     Development Expenditure on Revenue Account                   16 - 17

X.     Development Expenditure on Capital Account                         18

XI.     Capital Expenditure                                               19
XII.    Public Account Expenditure                                   20 - 23
XIII.   Estimated Charged and Other Expenditure met from                   24
        Federal Consolidated Fund

XIV.    Statement of Purpose                                              25
XV.   Demand for Grants and Appropriations 2026-27                  26 - 30
       Demand-Wise Expenditure (Schedule-I)
XVI.   Demand for Grants and Appropriations 2026-27                       31
        Object-Wise Expenditure (Schedule III)

XVII.   Statement of Contingent Liabilities                             32 - 34
XVIII.  Statement of Fiscal Risks                                     35 - 39
                                                                        40XIX    Statement of Estimated Tax Expenditure
XX    Medium Term Budgetary Statement 2026-29                     41 - 43
XXI    Climate Budget Statement                                     44 - 45
                                                                   46 - 47XXII   Gender Budget Statement
                                                                   48 - 49XXIII   Disaster Budget Statement
XXIV   Statements of Responsibility                                   50 - 51

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                     SUMMARY OF RECEIPTS

Federal  receipts are categorized as Revenue Receipts,  Capital Receipts,  Public Account
Receipts and External Receipts. These receipts, except Public Account Receipts, become part of
the the Federal Consolidated Fund.

                                                                            (Rs. in million)
                                            Budget     Revised     Budget
   Object
                         Description             Estimates   Estimates    Estimates
   Code
                                                2025-26     2025-26      2026-27
           Revenue Receipts - Federal
          A-
            Consolidated Fund
B       1  Tax Revenue Receipts               14,131,000   12,983,000   15,264,000
         FBR Taxes                          14,131,000   12,983,000   15,264,000
  B01        Direct Taxes                          6,902,000    6,431,754     7,613,000
  B02         Indirect Taxes                         7,229,000    6,551,246     7,651,000
C       2  Non-Tax Revenue Receipts            5,147,090    5,093,364     5,335,598
B03          Levies and Fees                         29,790       37,000       41,589
C01        Income from Property and Enterprises     519,332      480,792      435,760
C02          Receipts from Civil Administration etc    2,450,392    2,467,764     1,480,183
C03          Miscellaneous Receipts                2,147,576    2,107,809     3,378,066
         3  Total Revenue Receipts (1+2)        19,278,090   18,076,364   20,599,598
E       4  Capital Receipts                      3,266,924    2,888,336     2,186,380
E02         Recovery of Loans and Advances         603,000      749,547      426,309
E03         Domestic Debt Receipts (Bank) - Net     2,663,924    2,138,789     1,760,071
         5  Total Internal Receipts (3+4)         22,545,013   20,964,700   22,785,978
         6  External Receipts                     5,777,554    5,024,517     6,779,624
              Total Internal and External Receipts
         7                                      28,322,568   25,989,217   29,565,602
              (5+6)
             Public Account of Federation Net       B -
            Receipts
G       8  Public Account Receipts               210,127      281,327      274,378
             Deferred Liabilities (Net)                 120,610      212,078      231,072
             Deposit and Reserves (Net)               89,517       69,249       43,306
         9  Gross Federal Resources (7+8)       28,532,695   26,270,544   29,839,980
           Less Provincial Share in Federal
        10                                       8,205,723    7,591,797     8,848,492
           Taxes
        11  Net Federal Resources (9-10)        20,326,972   18,678,747   20,991,488
           Cash Balance Surplus by the        12                                       1,464,000    1,379,000     1,793,844
            Provinces
        13  Privatization Proceeds                  86,550       14,257      160,500
        14  Domestic Debt Receipts (Bank) - Net   1,970,590      198,631     2,218,176
        15  Total Resources (11+12+13+14)                                                 23,848,112   20,270,635   25,164,008

Page 8

                        REVENUE RECEIPTS
Revenue Receipts constitute major component of total Federal resources. Revenue Receipts are
categorized as Tax Revenue Receipts and Non-Tax Revenue Receipts, and are derived from the
following sources:-
Tax Revenue Receipts
Tax Revenue is administered by the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR), which comprises of
Customs Duty and Inland Revenue i.e Direct Taxes, Sales Tax and Federal Excise Duty. FBR
taxes may also be categorized as Direct Taxes and Indirect Taxes. Direct Taxes comprise of
Income Tax, Capital Value Tax, WWF (Ordinary Collection) and Contribution under Companies
Profit (WPPF). Indirect Taxes include Sales Tax, Federal Excise Duty and Customs Duty. A
snapshot of Budget Estimates is as under:-
                                                                    (Rs in million)
                                            Budget     Revised     Budget
   Object
                         Description             Estimates   Estimates    Estimates
   Code
                                                2025-26     2025-26      2026-27
B          Tax Revenue
         FBR Taxes                          14,131,000   12,983,000   15,264,000
B01           i.Direct Taxes                         6,902,000    6,431,754     7,613,000
B011        Taxes on Income                      6,811,243    6,331,484     7,480,521
B017-18      Capital Value Tax (CVT)                  17,192       19,606       26,581
B01501   WWF (Ordinary Collection)                25,740        8,453       22,318
         WPPF (Contribution underB01502                                             47,825       72,211       83,580           Companies Profit)
B02           ii.Indirect Taxes                      7,229,000    6,551,246     7,651,000
B020-22     Customs Duties                       1,588,000    1,366,047     1,651,000
B023        Sales Tax                             4,753,000    4,333,908     4,927,000
B024-25      Federal Excise Duty                    888,000      851,291     1,073,000
     1       Total Tax Revenue (i+ii)              14,131,000   12,983,000   15,264,000

Page 9

Non-Tax Revenue Receipts

As per Section 2(a) of the Public Finance Management Act, 2019 (amended), Non-Tax Revenue
means revenues received by the Government in terms of Article 78(1) of the Constitution and the
recurring income of the Government from investments and provision of services but does not
include those mentioned in Article 160(3) of the Constitution. Non-Tax Revenue of the Federal
Government is administered by various Ministries  / Divisions  / Departments. Budget Estimates
are as under:-
                                                                    (Rs in million)
                                            Budget     Revised     Budget
   Object
                         Description             Estimates   Estimates    Estimates
   Code
                                                2025-26     2025-26      2026-27
C         Non Tax Revenue

B03          a) Levies and Fees                      29,790       37,000       41,589
B03087      Mobile Handset Levy                     12,000       13,000       14,000
B013-030    Receipts of ICT Administration             17,737       23,928       27,517
B03064       Airport Fee                               53          72          72

C01          b) Income from Property and           519,332      480,792      435,760
               Enterprises
C01008     PTA (4G/5G Licences)                    22,049       24,973       27,685
C01012     PTA (Surplus)                             1,100        1,640        1,300
C01012      Regulatory Authorities (Surplus)             6,239        3,387        4,736
C012-18     Mark up Receipts                       283,810      249,792      271,653
C012       Mark up Receipts (Provinces)              95,810       93,792      100,802
C013-18     Mark up Receipts ( PSEs & Others)       188,000      156,000      170,851
C019        Dividends                             206,134      201,000      130,387

               c) Receipts from Civil
C02                                               2,450,392    2,467,764     1,480,183
             Administration & Other Functions

C021-24     General Administration Receipts            5,841        5,180        5,887
C02211      Surplus Profit of State Bank of           2,400,000    2,428,364     1,435,750
             Pakistan
C025        Defence Services Receipts                35,442       28,000       31,473
C026       Law and Order Receipts                    5,625        3,350        4,091
C027       Community Services Receipts               1,904        1,315        1,339
C028-29      Social Services                           1,580        1,554        1,643

C03          d) Miscellaneous Receipts            2,147,576    2,107,809     3,378,066
C031-35     Economic Services Receipts              34,785       65,168       72,727
                                                                   Contd…..

Page 10

                                                                    (Rs in million)
                                            Budget     Revised     Budget
   Object
                         Description             Estimates   Estimates    Estimates
   Code
                                                2025-26     2025-26      2026-27
           Non-Tax Revenue
C03601      Foreign Grants (Budgetary Support)         2,000        6,000        2,000
C03725      Extraordinary Receipts (UNO)             31,200       24,700       25,600
C037         Extraordinary Receipts (Others)             6,400        4,914        5,903
C037         Grants/Receipts from Provinces under              -                   -       1,035,000
                Article 164
C03897       Nationalization, Passport and Others       76,500       65,000       73,060
C038        Other Receipts of Attached Deptts        109,009      151,731      165,883
C03901      Petroleum Levy                        1,468,395    1,498,000     1,676,509
C03902      Natural Gas Development Surcharge       49,437       63,000       70,814
C03905      Royalty on Crude Oil                     69,000       40,000       45,504
C03906      Royalty on Natural Gas                  138,000       85,000       95,000
C03910      Discount Retained on Local Crude         30,000       19,488       20,500
              Price
C03915       Windfall Levy against Crude Oil            20,000       16,106       17,000

C03916     Gas Infrastructure Development Cess        2,400        2,000        2,248

C03917      Petroleum Levy on LPG                    5,000        3,463        3,455
C03919       Windfall Levy on Gas                     450        1,239        1,127
C03920       Off the Grid (Captive Power Plant)        105,000       14,000       15,736
            Levy
C03924      Climate Support Levy                                     -         48,000       50,000

C    2      Total Non-Tax Revenue (a+b+c+d)     5,147,090    5,093,364     5,335,598

     3      Total Revenue Receipts (1+2)        19,278,090   18,076,364   20,599,598

Page 11

                            CAPITAL RECEIPTS
Capital receipts comprise of Recoveries of Loans and Advances from Provinces and other
entities and Domestic Debt which includes Permanent Debt and Floating Debt. Budget Estimates
are as under:-
                                                                    (Rs in million)
                                            Budget     Revised     Budget
   Object
                         Description             Estimates   Estimates    Estimates
   Code
                                                2025-26     2025-26      2026-27
E02                 I. Recoveries of Loans and             603,000      749,547      426,309
           Advances
E021        Provinces                             584,000      584,000      407,309
E022-27    PSEs and Others                        19,000      165,547       19,000
E03                 II. Total Domestic Debts Receipts     16,671,113   28,788,804   27,752,272
             (a+b)
E031         a) Permanent Debt Receipts           7,323,395    7,709,282     7,188,241
             Pakistan Investment Bonds (Bank)       4,079,641    5,046,624     3,099,368
             Pakistan Investment Bonds (Non          326,754      529,340      681,873
            Bank)
           Premium Prize Bonds (Registered)         26,000       24,000       30,000
                 Ijara Sukuk Bonds                     2,514,000    2,109,318     3,000,000
           ICBC (Foreign Currency Denominated     377,000                -        377,000
            Domestic Loan)
E032         b) Floating Debt Receipts             9,347,718   21,079,522   20,564,031
              Prize Bonds                             17,718       14,453       14,031
             Treasury Bills Through Auction          8,430,000   20,426,372   19,850,000
              Govt. Bai-Maujjal Ijara Sukuk             900,000      638,698      700,000
     4       Capital Gross Receipts (I+II)          17,274,113   29,538,351   28,178,581
           Domestic Debt Receipts             16,671,113   28,788,804   27,752,272
           Domestic Debt Repayment (page-    14,007,189   26,650,015   25,992,201
             17)
            Net Domestic Debt Receipts           2,663,924    2,138,789     1,760,071
     5      Total Federal Internal Gross          36,552,203   47,614,715   48,778,179
            Receipts (3+4)

Page 12

                        EXTERNAL RECEIPTS
External Resources comprise of loans and grants received from multilateral, bilateral and other
sources. Budget Estimates are as under:-
                                                                    (Rs in million)
                                            Budget     Revised     Budget
                         Description             Estimates   Estimates    Estimates
                                                2025-26     2025-26      2026-27
                       I. Loans                              5,047,928    4,403,351     6,206,394
             Project Loans (PSDP)                  215,719      300,130      246,073
             Federal                                 89,422      167,765      112,766
           Autonomous Bodies                    126,297      132,365      133,307
          Programme Loans & Grants            418,699      430,405      418,024
             Federal & Autonomous Bodies           330,267      313,555      335,313
             Provinces                               88,433      113,490       82,711
           Programme Grants (Federal)                           -          3,360                -
            Other Loans                          4,413,510    3,672,816     5,542,297
                       II. Grants                               13,281       10,849        8,927
             Project Grants (PSDP)                   13,281       10,849        8,927
             Federal (PSDP)                         11,237        9,856        6,377
           Autonomous Bodies                       2,044         993        2,550
               a. External Receipts  (I +II)             5,061,209    4,414,200     6,215,321
               b. Project Loans & Grants (Others)      716,345      610,317      564,303
             Project Loans (Others)                 686,761      580,148      533,036
             Federal Projects                         241        2,988        8,439
             Provinces                             686,521      577,161      524,597
            Grants (Others)                         29,584       30,168       31,267
             Federal Projects                           2,195        3,475         406
             Provinces                               27,388       26,694       30,861
     6       Total External Receipts               5,777,554    5,024,517     6,779,624

Page 13

                        PUBLIC ACCOUNT RECEIPTS

Article 78(2) provides that  all other monies received by or on behalf of the Federal
Government shall be credited into the Public Account of the Federation. Therefore, all the
monies received by or on behalf of the Federal Government in terms of Article 78(2) are Public
Account receipts which are not revenues in terms of Article 78(1) of the Constitution. However,
such Public Account receipts cannot be operated without  establishment of Special Purpose
Funds, deposits, reserves etc under the authority of an act of the Parliament or with the approval
of the Federal Government.There are two sources of Public Account Receipts as under:-
National Savings Schemes
National Savings Schemes include Savings bank accounts, Defence Savings  Certificates,
Special Savings Certificates, Pensionery Benefit Accounts, Behbood Savings Certificates etc.

                                                                    (Rs in million)
                                            Budget     Revised     Budget
   Object
                         Description             Estimates   Estimates    Estimates
   Code
                                                2025-26     2025-26      2026-27

i. G111      Investment Deposit Accounts         1,340,945    1,443,580     1,485,072
            (Savings Schemes)
  G11101   Savings Bank Accounts                 606,781      587,084      627,390
  G11106   Defence Savings Certificates              37,130       23,332       23,162
  G11111   Special Savings Certificates               79,573       96,038       99,252
              (Registered)
  G11112   Special Savings Accounts                 15,422       16,434       16,983
  G11113   Regular Income Certificates              101,675      114,451      111,900
  G11126   Pensionery Benefit Accounts              91,585      129,722      127,321
  G11127   Behbood Saving Certificates             233,715      281,410      273,962
  G11130   Shuhada Welfare Accounts                  65         110         100
   New    Sarwa Islamic Saving & Term              55,000       75,000       85,000
             Accounts
  G11129   Short Term Savings Certificates          120,000      120,000      120,000

ii. G061      Provident Fund                         59,606       67,886       67,651

       Gross Public Account Receipts ( i+ii )      1,400,551    1,511,466     1,552,723
         1  Gross Public Account Receipts        1,400,551    1,511,466     1,552,723
                  (i+ii )
           Gross Public Account Expenditure    1,279,941    1,299,388     1,321,651
             (Page-18)

            Net Public Account Receipts           120,610      212,078      231,072
                                                                     Contd…..

Page 14

Deposits and Reserves (Receipts)

Deposits and Reserves represent all monies forming part of the Public Account of the
Federation as per Article 78(2) of the Constitution of Islamic Republic of Pakistan. Budget
estimates of receipts in the following table are however subject to fulfillment of following
stipulations:-

(i) The funds appropriated by the National Assembly out of Federal Consolidated Funds in terms
of Articles 80 to 84 of the Constitution for a particular financial year (being lapsable) shall be
utilized as per Cash Management and TSA Rules 2024 and shall not be deposited under these
deposits and reserves heads of account (being non-lapsable) under the Public Account.

(ii) The maintenance and operation of all these funds, deposits, reserves etc shall be subject to
their due establishment either under the authority of an act of Parliament or with the approval of
the Federal Government, as the case may be.

(iii) Revenues in terms of Article 78(1) of the Constitution shall not be deposited in these deposits
and reserves heads of account under the Public Account. The revenues shall only be deposited
in the respective heads of account of tax revenue and non tax revenue.

(iv) Receipt of funds into these deposits and reserves heads of account shall only be allowed by
the Accounting Offices subject to compliance of the stipulations at (i) to  (iii) above and to the
extent of reconciled available balance under the respective head of account.
                                                                    (Rs in million)
                                            Budget     Revised     Budget   Object
                         Description             Estimates   Estimates    Estimates
   Code
                                                2025-26     2025-26      2026-27
G           Deposits and Reserves

         FGE Benevolent Funds                   2,086        9,117        9,573
G06202        Civil                                     1,994        9,074        9,527
G06205      Pakistan Post Office Deptt.                   7                -                   -
G06206      Housing & Works Division                   53          20          21
G06209      National Savings                          25          17          18
G06212      Geological Survey of Pakistan                 7           6           6
           Group Insurance Fund                   485         552         579
G06401      Housing & Works Division                    9           5           5
G06404      National Savings                           6           4           4
G06407      Geological Survey of Pakistan                 3           2           2
G06409        Civil                                   466         540         567
G07104      Fed. Govt. Empl. Group Insur. Fund            1                -                   -
         PPOD
                                                                   Contd…..

Page 15

                                                                    (Rs in million)
                                            Budget     Revised     Budget   Object
                         Description             Estimates   Estimates    Estimates
   Code
                                                2025-26     2025-26      2026-27
G           Deposits and Reserves

            Defence                                29,078       11,733       12,319
G06203    FG Employees Benevolent Fund            4,483        4,447        4,669
             (Defence)
G06410     Group Insurance Fund (Defence)            1,300        1,328        1,394
G11224      Deposits Accounts with Defence           23,295        5,958        6,256
             Pakistan Post Office Department                   -           209         219
G07106      Pakistan Post Office Miscellaneous                  -           209         219
           Housing & Works Division                3,575         947         994
G10101      Receipts & Collection Account              465          38          40
G10113      Deposits                                 3,111         909         954
G           Deposits and Reserves                172,831      325,650      130,989
            Miscellaneous Funds
G06304     Workers Welfare Fund                   65,809       73,163       76,821
G06315       Judicial Officers Welfare Fund                 3           3           3
G12140    PM Flood Relief Fund 2010                   0           5           5
G12150    PM Relief Fund for IDPs 2014               175                -                   -
G12152      Prime Minister's Flood Relief Fund -                  -            0.03          0.03
            2014
G12157    PM COVID-19 Pandemic Relief Fund           0          0.02          0.02
            2020
G12164     PM's Relief Fund Flood, Earthquake                 -          1,663        1,747
             Other Cal.
G12166     PM's Relief Fund for Turkiye & Syria                 -            25          26
             Earthquake
G12169     PM's Relief Fund for Ghaza &               169          15          16
            Lebanon
G12186      Prime Minister's Austerity Fund, 2026               -        128,472                -
G12193      Prime Minister's Austerity Fund, 2026               -         81,086                -
                 for SOEs
G12206      Special Fund for Welfare and Uplift of               -            35          37
               Minorities
G12226      Federal Govt. Artists Welfare Fund                   -             2          51
               (Heritage)
G12305      Export Development Fund                 25,430        8,517       20,000
G11217      National Tariff Commission Fund            500         800         900
G12308     Reserve Fund for Exch. Risk on             2,373       11,506       12,081
             Foreign Loans
G12412      Pakistan Oil Seed Development Fund         189         191         201
                                                                   Contd…..

Page 16

                                                                    (Rs in million)
                                            Budget     Revised     Budget
   Object
                         Description             Estimates   Estimates    Estimates
   Code
                                                2025-26     2025-26      2026-27

G           Deposits and Reserves

G12419     Research and Development Fund           3,800        3,583        4,154
G12421     Diamer Basha and Mohmand Dam         61,757           5           5
           Fund
G12504     Workers Children Education Fund             0.15          0.07          0.08
G12612     Fund for Urdu Science Board                 1           3           3
G12712      Trust Interest Fund (Charitable                4           2           2
            Endowment)
G12738      National Fund for Control of Drug             20          81          85
           Abuse
G12783      Universal Service Fund                   11,000       14,780       12,833
G1270G     Board of Investment                      400         400         400
            Miscellaneous Deposit and Reserve
           Accounts
G10104      Mint Receipt and Collection Account                 -           114         119

G14100      Pakistan Mint                             1,200        1,200        1,500
         2  Gross Receipts (Deposits and          208,054      348,207      154,674
            Reserves)
            Exp. Deposit and Reserves             118,537      278,958      111,368
             (page-23)

            Net Deposit and Reserves Receipts      89,517       69,249       43,306

         3  Gross Receipts (1+2)                  1,608,605    1,859,673     1,707,397

           Gross Expenditure (page-23)          1,398,478    1,578,346     1,433,019

     7     PUBLIC ACCOUNT NET RECEIPTS      210,127      281,327      274,378

Page 17

                   SUMMARY OF EXPENDITURE
                                (Current & Development)
In this table, Budget Estimates of current expenditure (on revenue and capital account) and
Budget Estimates of Development expenditure (on revenue and capital accounts) have been
mentioned as per Article 80(2) of the Constitution of Pakistan.
                                                                    (Rs in million)
                                            Budget     Revised     Budget
  Function
                         Description             Estimates   Estimates    Estimates
   Code
                                                2025-26     2025-26      2026-27
             Current Expenditure
               a. Current Exp. on Revenue          16,286,045   15,006,324   17,495,417
           Account
    01      General Public Services               12,210,851   10,782,451   12,799,647
    02     Defence Affairs and Services            2,557,950    2,595,715     3,010,900
    03      Public Order and Safety Affairs           351,679      373,317      389,469
    04     Economic Affairs                       242,144      245,222      238,438
    05      Environment Protection                    3,168        2,740        2,406
    06     Housing and Community Amenities         19,249       12,560       18,570
    07      Health                                  31,975       60,245       37,438
    08      Recreation, Culture and Religion           22,158       36,317       23,796
    09      Education Affairs and Services           112,683      169,026      117,748
    10      Social Protection                       734,187      728,730      857,007
               b. Current Exp. on Capital Account    5,787,114    3,607,449     6,061,282

    011     Foreign Loans Repayment              5,472,222    3,326,037     5,836,275
    011     Repayment of Short Term Foreign        199,810      164,453      130,292
    014      Transfers                              115,082      116,959       94,715
         1  Total Current Expenditure (a + b)     22,073,159   18,613,773   23,556,699

           Development Expenditure

               c. Dev. Exp. on Revenue Account       590,774      501,057      575,295

               d. Dev. Exp. on Capital Account       1,184,179    1,155,804     1,032,014
         2  Total Development Expenditure       1,774,953    1,656,862     1,607,309
             (c+d)
           Grand Total - Expenditure (1+2)      23,848,112   20,270,635   25,164,008

         3 Break-up of Expenditure

           Revenue Account (a+c)              16,876,819   15,507,381   18,070,713

              Capital Account (b+d)                 6,971,293    4,763,254     7,093,295

              Total Expenditure:                   23,848,112   20,270,635   25,164,008

Page 18

Current Expenditure on Revenue Account
                                                                    (Rs in million)
                                            Budget     Revised     Budget
  Function
                         Description             Estimates   Estimates    Estimates
   Code
                                                2025-26     2025-26      2026-27
01          General Public Service               12,210,851   10,782,451   12,799,647
    011     Executive & Legislative Organs,      10,397,794    8,861,174   10,326,003
             Financial & Fiscal Affairs, External
              Affairs
            Debt Servicing                         8,207,250    6,937,459     8,054,000
                    Servicing of Foreign Debt         1,009,322      930,918     1,071,393
                    Servicing of Domestic Debt        7,197,928    6,006,541     6,982,607
             Superannuation Allowances &           1,055,000    1,055,000     1,169,000
             Pensions
             Others (Details are in "Demands for                                                   1,135,544      868,715     1,103,003             Grants & Appropriation" book.)
    012     Foreign Economic Aid                      5,793        5,793        5,203
    014      Transfers                             1,682,477    1,791,068     2,330,690
                          Provinces                 150,000      150,000      152,000
             Others (Details are in "Budget in Brief"                                                   1,532,477    1,641,068     2,178,690                             book.)
    015     General Services                        23,990       22,404       25,073
    016     Basic Research                          10,229        9,758       11,080
    017     Research & Dev. General Public           30,214       30,088       33,246
             Services
    018     Admn. of General Public Service            9,869       10,031       10,578
    019     Gen. Public Services not elsewhere        50,484       52,137       57,774
              defined
02          Defence Affairs and Services          2,557,950    2,595,715     3,010,900
    021     Defence Services                      2,550,000    2,583,968     3,000,000
    A01     Employees Related Expenses            846,032      851,080      967,548
    A03     Operating Expenses                    704,399      721,030      743,462
    A09     Physical Assets                        663,077      663,923      925,833
    A12       Civil Works                            336,492      347,935      363,158
    025     Defence Administration                    7,950       11,747       10,900
03           Public Order and Safety Affairs         351,679      373,317      389,469
    031    Law Courts                             19,380       21,532       25,756
    032      Police & Civil Armed Forces              321,177      327,670      350,404
    033      Fire Protection                           709         671         748
    034      Prison Administration and Operation          181         167         187
    035    R&D Public Order and Safety                98         195         104
    036      Administration of Public Order             10,135       23,082       12,270
                                                                     Contd…..

Page 19

Current Expenditure on Revenue Account
                                                                    (Rs in million)
                                            Budget     Revised     Budget
  Function
                         Description             Estimates   Estimates    Estimates
   Code
                                                2025-26     2025-26      2026-27

04         Economic Affairs                      242,144      245,222      238,438
    041     Gen. Eco., Commercial & Labour         117,035      103,642      110,199
                Affairs
    042       Agri., Food, Irrigation, Forestry &           33,476       40,645       33,204
              Fisheries
    043     Fuel and Energy                          2,397        2,343        1,360
    044     Mining and Manufacturing                  7,586       18,888       10,267
    045      Construction and Transport                46,228       44,998       46,405
    046     Communications                         33,103       32,369       34,517
    047     Other Industries                           1,525        1,568        1,527
    048     Research & Development Economic          793         768         957
                Affairs
05          Environment Protection                   3,168        2,740        2,406
    053      Pollution Abatement                       2,155        1,655        1,155
    055      Administration of Environment              1,013        1,085        1,251
              Protection
06         Housing and Community Amenities      19,249       12,560       18,570

    061     Housing Development                      1,588         129         143
    062     Community Development                 17,661       12,431       18,427
07           Health                                 31,975       60,245       37,438
    071     Medical Products, Appliances and            32          33          38
            Equipments
    073      Hospital Services                        24,035       24,547       28,779

    074      Public Health Services                     1,139       30,813        1,204

    076     Health Administration                      6,768        4,851        7,417
                                                                     Contd…..

Page 20

Current Expenditure on Revenue Account
                                                                    (Rs in million)
                                            Budget     Revised     Budget
  Function
                         Description             Estimates   Estimates    Estimates
   Code
                                                2025-26     2025-26      2026-27

08           Recreation, Culture and Religion         22,158       36,317       23,796

    081      Recreational and Sporting Services                  -            70                -
    082      Cultural Services                          1,503        1,473        1,591

    083     Broadcasting and Publishing              16,488       31,074       17,673

    084      Religious Affairs                           2,094        2,029        2,204
    086     Admn. of Information, Recreation &          2,074        1,671        2,328
              Culture

09          Education Affairs and Services         112,683      169,026      117,748
    091     Pre-Primary and Primary Education          5,841        5,904        6,275
                Affairs and Services
    092     Secondary Education Affairs and           14,420       14,704       16,015
             Services
    093      Tertiary Education Affairs and             82,012       83,569       84,462
             Services
    094     Education Services Not definable by         3,738        4,014        3,878
              Level
    095      Subsidiary Services to Education            392         406         410

    096      Administration                            4,825        4,457        5,224
    097     Education Affairs & Services not             1,455       55,973        1,484
            Elsewhere Classified
10           Social Protection                      734,187      728,730      857,007

    107      Administration                            5,890        9,555        4,975

    108     Others                                   1,303        1,643        2,556
    109      Social Protection (Not elsewhere          726,994      717,532      849,477
                classified)
             a.Current Expenditure on Revenue   16,286,045   15,006,324   17,495,417
           Account
Revised Estimates 2025-26 are as of 15th May, 2026 based on SAP System

Page 21

Current Expenditure on Capital Account
                                                                    (Rs in million)
                                            Budget     Revised     Budget
  Function
                         Description             Estimates   Estimates    Estimates
   Code
                                                2025-26     2025-26      2026-27
01          General Public Service                5,787,114    3,607,449     6,061,282
    011     Foreign Loan Repayment               5,472,222    3,326,037     5,836,275
    011     Repayment of Short Term Foreign        199,810      164,453      130,292
              Credits
    014      Transfers                              115,082      116,959       94,715
             Federal Misc. Investments and Other      115,082      116,959       94,715
            Loans and Advances
               b. Current Expenditure on             5,787,114    3,607,449     6,061,282
              Capital Account
                       I. Total Current Expenditure (a+b)    22,073,159   18,613,773   23,556,699

Page 22

Development Expenditure on Revenue Account
                                                                    (Rs in million)
                                            Budget     Revised     Budget
  Function
                         Description             Estimates   Estimates    Estimates
   Code
                                                2025-26     2025-26      2026-27

01          General Public Service                 391,839      313,426      367,805
    011      Executive & Legislative Organs,            10,481       17,830       13,846
              Financial & Fiscal Affairs, External
                Affairs
    014      Transfers                              331,130      252,384      294,286
    015     General Services                        29,260       26,749       36,982
    016     Basic Research                          19,670       15,708       22,198
    017     Research & Dev. General Public             921         463         160
             Services
    019     General Public Services not                377         291         333
             elsewhere defined
02          Defence Affairs and Services              2,720        2,668        2,961
    021       Military Defence                          556         865         387
    024    R & D Defence                           248         246        1,054
    025     Defence Administration                    1,916        1,557        1,520
03           Public Order and Safety Affairs            2,921        2,103        5,743
    031    Law Courts                               1,912        1,583        2,403
    032      Police and Civil Armed Forces              986         497        3,340
    036      Administration of Public Order                23          23                -
04         Economic Affairs                      105,611      104,589       79,382
    041     Gen. Eco. Commercial and Labour          4,058        1,064        2,563
                Affairs
    042      Agri,,Food, Irrigation, Forestry &            72,162       69,779       49,629
              Fisheries
    043     Fuel and Energy                           7,009       13,367        8,451
    044     Mining and Manufacturing                  1,105         420         761
    045      Construction and Transport                20,325       17,794       16,965
    046     Communications                         814        2,066         449
    048     Research & Development Economic          138          99         564
                Affairs
05          Environment Protection                   2,784        2,292        2,478
    055      Administration of Environment Protection     2,784        2,292        2,478
06         Housing and Community Amenities        7,977        6,596       14,189
    062     Community Development                   7,971        6,590       14,189
    063     Water Supply                              6           6                -

                                                                     Contd…..

Page 23

DEVELOPMENT EXPENDITURE ON REVENUE ACCOUNT
                                                                    (Rs in million)
                                            Budget     Revised     Budget
  Function
                         Description             Estimates   Estimates    Estimates
   Code
                                                2025-26     2025-26      2026-27
07           Health                                 15,102       13,691       18,217
    073      Hospital Services                          6,107        6,273          8,690
    074      Public Health Services                     8,700        7,138          5,962
    076     Health Administration                     295         280          3,565
08           Recreation, Culture and Religion          3,697        2,479        2,822
    081     Recreation and Sporting Services           1,180        1,180          1,851
    082      Cultural Services                         250                -                   -
    083     Broadcasting and Publishing                1,616        1,249          659
    084      Religious Affairs                          650          50          312
09          Education Affairs and Services           55,824       52,639       76,381
    093      Tertiary Edu. Affairs & Services            52,175       50,638         72,059
    095      Subsidiary Services to Education            650         362          722
    096      Administration                           750                -                   -
    097     Education Affairs & Services not             2,249        1,639          3,600
            Elsewhere Classified
10           Social Protection                         2,300         574        5,317
    107      Administration                            2,300         574          5,317
               c. Dev. Exp. on Revenue Account       590,774      501,057      575,295
Revised Estimates of Development Expenditure 2025-26 are as of 15th May, 2026 based on SAP
System

Page 24

DEVELOPMENT EXPENDITURE ON CAPITAL ACCOUNT
                                                                    (Rs in Million)
                                            Budget     Revised     Budget
  Function                         Description             Estimates   Estimates    Estimates
   Code
                                                2025-26     2025-26      2026-27

01          General Public Service                1,163,036    1,131,537     1,006,723

    014      Transfers                             1,162,275    1,130,776     1,005,388
    017     Research and Dev. General Public           761        761        1,335
             Services
04         Economic Affairs                       21,144       24,268       25,290
    041     Gen. Eco., Commercial and Labour          719         368         312
                Affairs
    043     Fuel and Energy                                           -           244                -
    044     Mining and Manufacturing                  1,904        1,714        6,658
    045      Construction and Transport                17,280       21,309       17,821
    046     Communications                          1,241         632         500
               d. Dev. Expenditure on Capital         1,184,179    1,155,804     1,032,014
             Account

                II.Total Development Expenditure      1,774,953    1,656,862     1,607,309
             (c+d)

                 III.Total Exp.                        23,848,112   20,270,635   25,164,008
            (Current+Development)

Page 25

                          CAPITAL EXPENDITURE
The expenditure incurred on repayment of domestic debt is termed as Capital Expenditure.
                                                                    (Rs in million)
                                            Budget     Revised     Budget
Object Code             Description             Estimates   Estimates    Estimates
                                                2025-26     2025-26      2026-27
A101         i.Domestic Permanent Debt           6,069,033    6,807,142     6,488,501
             Pakistan Investment Bonds (Bank)       4,079,641    5,046,624     3,099,368
             Pakistan Investment Bonds (Non          179,359      481,371      295,632
            Bank)
             Foreign Exchange Bearer Certificates           1          0.01          0.10
             Foreign Currency Bearer Certificates           1          0.01          0.10
         US Dollar Bearer Certificates                  1          0.01          0.10
              Special US Dollar Bonds                    30          0.03          0.30
           Premium Prize Bonds (Registered)         16,000       12,000       15,000
                 Ijara Sukuk Bond                      1,414,000    1,265,712     2,700,000
             Pakistan Banao Certificates (5-years)        3,000        1,435        1,500
               Principal Repayment of Foreign           377,000                -        377,000
             Currency Denomated - Domestic Debt
A104          ii.Floating Debt                       7,938,156   19,842,874   19,503,700
              Prize Bonds                              5,156        3,694        3,700
             Treasury Bills through Auction           7,930,000   19,836,680   19,500,000
              Bai-Maujjal Ijara Sukuk Bonds               3,000         2,500               -
A10      IV.  Total Public Debt Repayment (i+ii)    14,007,189   26,650,015   25,992,201

         V.   Total - Federal Consolidated Fund    37,855,301   46,920,650   51,156,209
            Disbursement (III+IV)

Page 26

                      PUBLIC ACCOUNT EXPENDITURE
National Savings Schemes
The expenditure incurred on repayment of National Savings Schemes  is termed as Public
Account Expenditure.
                                                                    (Rs in million)
                                            Budget     Revised     Budget
   Object
                         Description             Estimates   Estimates    Estimates
   Code
                                                2025-26     2025-26      2026-27
i. G111      Investment Deposit Accounts         1,199,657    1,211,018     1,237,670
            (Savings Schemes)
G11101      Savings Bank Accounts                 597,849      586,921      617,333
G11103     Khas Deposit Accounts                      5           5           5
G11104     Mahana Amadni Accounts                  100         110         100
G11106     Defence Savings Certificates              53,940       42,065       44,516
G11108      National Deposit Certificates                  1           1           1
G11109     Khaas Deposit Certificates                   1           1           1
G11111      Special Savings Certificates               74,554       88,070       89,782
              (Registered)
G11112      Special Savings Accounts                 14,449       15,070       15,363
G11113      Regular Income Certificate                72,519       57,311       57,032
G11126      Pensionery Benefits                      61,410       62,788       63,693
G11127     Behbood Saving Certificate              158,803      154,632      159,819
G11130     Shauhda Welfare Account                   25          45          25
  New      Sarwa Islamic Saving & Term              51,000       62,000       60,000
             Accounts
              Short Term Savings Certificates          115,000      142,000      130,000
            (STSC)
ii. G061      Provident Fund                         80,285       88,370       83,981
         1  Total Expenditure ( i+ii )               1,279,941    1,299,388     1,321,651

                                                                     Contd…..

Page 27

Deposits and Reserves

Deposits and Reserves represent all monies forming part of the Public Account of the Federation
as per Article 78(2) of the Constitution of Islamic Republic of Pakistan. Budget estimates of
Expenditure (withdrawal of funds) from the Deposits and Reserves as depicted in the following
table are however subject to fulfillment of following stipulations:-

(i) The maintenance and operation of all these funds, deposits, reserves etc shall be subject to
their due establishment either under the authority of an act of Parliament or with the approval of
the Federal Government, as the case may be.

(ii) Withdrawal of funds from these deposits and reserves heads of account shall only be allowed
by the Accounting Offices subject to compliance of the stipulations at (i) above and to the extent
of reconciled available balance under the respective head of account.

(iii) There shall be no authority of direct access to Central Account No.1 (Non Food) in SBP.

(iv) Withdrawal of funds from these Deposits and Reserves heads of account shall be in
accordance with the provisions of Public Finance Management Act, 2019, Cash Management
and Treasury Single Account Rules 2024 and the Special Assignment Account Procedure for the
Public Account  of the Federation 2021. Personal Ledger Accounts  shall not be used  for
withdrawal of funds.
                                                                    (Rs in million)
                                            Budget     Revised     Budget
   Object
                         Description             Estimates   Estimates    Estimates
   Code
                                                2025-26     2025-26      2026-27
 G          Deposits and Reserves
         FGE Benevolent Funds                   1,535        8,951        9,398
G06202        Civil                                     1,455        8,913        9,359
G06206      Housing & Works Division                   50          17          18
G06209      National Savings                          23          17          18
G06212      Geological Survey of Pakistan                 6           4           4
           Group Insurance Fund                   270         466         489
G06401      Housing & Works Division                    5           6           6
G06404      National Savings                           6           4           4

G06407      Geological Survey of Pakistan                 2           2           2

G06409        Civil                                   257         454         477
                                                                                Contd.....….

Page 28

                                                                    (Rs in million)
                                            Budget     Revised     Budget
   Object
                         Description             Estimates   Estimates    Estimates
   Code
                                                2025-26     2025-26      2026-27
 G          Deposits and Reserves
            Defence                                 8,748        8,998        9,448
G06203    FG Employees Benevolent Fund            3,851        3,815        4,006
             (Defence)
G06410     Group Insurance Fund (Defence)            1,272        1,295        1,359
G11224      Deposits Accounts with Defence            3,625        3,888        4,082
             Pakistan Post Office Department             2         138         145
G07101      Post Office Renewal Reserve Fund             2                -                   -
G07106      Pakistan Post Office Miscellaneous                  -           138         145
           Housing & Works Division               21,476        2,775        2,914
G10101      Receipts & Collection Account              465          30          32
G10113      Deposits                                21,011        2,745        2,882
G           Deposits and Reserves                  86,506      257,630       88,973

            Miscellaneous Funds
G06304     Workers Welfare Fund                   23,782       27,885       29,279
G06315       Judicial Officers Welfare Fund                0.19        0.349        0.366
G12140    PM Flood Relief Fund 2010                   0.00        0.183        0.192
G12150    PM Relief Fund for IDPs 2014               1,379                -                   -
G12152      Prime Minister's Flood Relief Fund -                  -            0.07          0.08
            2014
G12157    PM COVID-19 Pandemic Relief Fund                -            0.02          0.02
            2020
G12164     PM's Relief Fund Flood, Earthquake                 -           935         982
             Other Cal.
G12166     PM's Relief Fund for Turkiye & Syria                 -            0.29          0.30
             Earthquake
G12169     PM's Relief Fund for Ghaza &                 1         171         179
            Lebanon
G12186      Prime Minister's Austerity Fund, 2026               -        127,112        1,361
G12193      Prime Minister's Austerity Fund, 2026               -         64,426       16,660
                 for SOEs
G12206      Special Fund for Welfare & Uplift of                  -            19          19
               Minorities
G12226      Federal Govt. Artists Welfare Fund                   -            67          55
               (Heritage)
G12305      Export Development Fund                 12,300       27,300       30,000
G11217      National Tariff Commission Fund            500                -                   -
                                                                                Contd.....….

Page 29

                                                                    (Rs in million)
                                            Budget     Revised     Budget
   Object
                         Description             Estimates   Estimates    Estimates
   Code
                                                2025-26     2025-26      2026-27
G12308     Reserve Fund for Exch. Risk on                       -                   -                   -
             Foreign Loans
G12412      Pakistan Oil Seed Development Fund               -                   -                   -

G12419     Reserch & Development Fund              2,167        1,651        1,734
G12421     Diamer Bhasha and Mohmand Dam        30,878                -                   -
           Fund
G12504     Workers Children Education Fund                    -                   -                   -
G12612     Fund for Urdu Science Board                 0.18           2           3
G12712      Trust Interest Fund (Charitable                        -            0.02          0.02
            Endowment)
G12738      National Fund for Control of Drug                     -            0.06          0.07
           Abuse
G12783      Universal Service Fund                   10,431        6,648        6,981
G1270G     Board of Investment                      100         100         100
G           Deposits and Reserves
            Miscellaneous Deposits and
            Reserves Accounts
G10104      Mint Receipt and Collection Account         3,768         114         119
G14100      Pakistan Mint                             1,200        1,200        1,500
         2  Total Deposits and Reserves           118,537      278,958      111,368
         3  Total Public Account Expenditure     1,398,478    1,578,346     1,433,019
              (1+2)

Page 30

                  STATEMENT OF ESTIMATED CHARGED
                     AND VOTED EXPENDITURE
In terms of Article 80(2) of the Constitution of Pakistan, this statement distinguishes charged and
voted expenditure.
                                                                    (Rs in million)
                                            Budget     Revised     Budget
   Object
                         Description             Estimates   Estimates    Estimates
   Code
                                                2025-26     2025-26      2026-27
        I.       Expenditure on Revenue Account    16,876,819   15,507,381   18,070,713
              Current                             16,286,045   15,006,324   17,495,417
            Development                          590,774      501,057      575,295

             Total-Authorized Expenditure        16,876,819   15,507,381   18,070,713

            Charged                              8,319,604    7,051,096     8,175,483
            Voted                                8,557,215    8,456,285     9,895,229

        II.       Expenditure on Capital Account      20,978,482   31,413,269   33,085,496
              Current                             19,794,303   30,257,464   32,053,483
            Development                          1,184,179    1,155,804     1,032,014

              Total Authorized Expenditure        20,978,482   31,413,269   33,085,496

            Charged                            20,454,174   30,915,459   32,566,077
            Voted                                 524,308      497,810      519,419
        III.       Total Expenditure met from Federal

            Consolidated Fund                  37,855,301   46,920,650   51,156,209
              Current Expenditure                  36,080,348   45,263,788   49,548,900
            Development Expenditure              1,774,953    1,656,862     1,607,309

     IV.      Total-Authorized Expenditure        37,855,301   46,920,650   51,156,209

            Charged - Total                      28,773,778   37,966,554   40,741,560
            Voted - Total                          9,081,523    8,954,095   10,414,649

Page 31

                     Statement of Purpose
       This Statement  is submitted in accordance with Section 4 of the Public
Finance Management Act, 2019 (as amended to date). The demands for grants for
FY2026-27  reflect  the Federal Government’s commitment  to  fiscal  discipline,
macroeconomic stability, and efficient allocation of public resources in line with its
medium-term reform and development priorities.

       In framing the budget, priority has been accorded to key sectors including
health, education, social protection, climate resilience, gender equity and human
capital development. The Government remains committed to improving the quality
and targeting of public expenditure while ensuring adequate fiscal space for essential
social and development needs.

      At the same time, the budget continues to support economic recovery and
inclusive  growth  through  sustained  support  for  productive  sectors,  including
agriculture, industry, and small and medium enterprises, alongside measures to
enhance competitiveness, employment generation, and private sector participation.

                              IMDAD ULLAH BOSAL
                                          Secretary to the Government of Pakistan
Finance Division
Islamabad, the 12th June, 2026

Page 32

   Statement of Demand-Wise Expenditure for Budget Estimates 2026-27 (Schedule I)
                                                                                                  (Rs. in million)
                                                               Budget Estimates 2026-27Demand
No.                       Ministries / Divisions                    Charged        Voted           Total
 1    CABINET                                                                                      -            710          710
 2    CABINET DIVISION                                                                       -            5,941          5,941
 3   EMERGENCY RELIEF AND REPATRIATION                                      -            1,797          1,797
 4    ATOMIC ENERGY                                                                         -           22,578        22,578
 5    PAKISTAN NUCLEAR REGULATORY AUTHORITY                             -            2,357          2,357
 6    NAYA PAKISTAN HOUSING DEVELOPMENT AUTHORITY                  -            143          143
 7    PRIME MINISTER'S OFFICE (INTERNAL)                                          -            895          895
 8    PRIME MINISTER'S OFFICE (PUBLIC)                                              -            921          921
 9    NATIONAL DISASTER MANAGEMENT AUTHORITY                           -            1,048          1,048
 10   BOARD OF INVESTMENT                                                               -            858          858
 11   PRIME MINISTER'S INSPECTION COMMISSION                                -            200          200
 12    SPECIAL TECHNOLOGY ZONE AUTHORITY                                     -            952          952
 13    NATIONAL ANTI-MONEY LAUDERING & COUNTER                           -            205          205
      FINANCING OF TERRORISM AUTHORITY
 14   CANNABIS CONTROL & REGULATORY AUTHORITY                         -            250          250
 15   ESTABLISHMENT DIVISION                                                           -           10,177        10,177
 16   FEDERAL PUBLIC SERVICE COMMISSION                                      -            1,474          1,474
 17    NATIONAL SCHOOL OF PUBLIC POLICY                                         -            3,515          3,515
 18    CIVIL SERVICES ACADEMY                                                           -            2,088          2,088
 19    NATIONAL SECURITY DIVISION                                                     -            489          489
 20   COUNCIL OF COMMON INTEREST (SECRETARIAT)                          -            118          118
 21    SPECIAL INVESTMENT FACILITATION COUNCIL                              -            354          354
       DIVISION (SIFCD)
 22    INTELLIGENCE BUREAU DIVISION                                                 -           22,961        22,961
 23    CLIMATE CHANGE AND ENVIRONMENTAL                                      -            1,315          1,315
     COORDINATION DIVISION
 24   COMMERCE DIVISION                                                                   -           27,910        27,910
 25   COMMUNICATIONS DIVISION                                                         -            355          355
 26   OTHER EXPENDITURE OF COMMUNICATIONS DIVISION                  -           36,137        36,137
 27    PAKISTAN POST OFFICE DEPARTMENT                          5        25,537        25,542
 28   DEFENCE DIVISION                                                                      -           17,101        17,101
 29   FEDERAL GOVERNMENT EDUCATIONAL INSTITUTIONS                  -           17,582        17,582
       IN CANTONMENTS AND GARRISONS
 30   AIRPORTS SECURITY FORCE                                                        -           21,651        21,651
 31   DEFENCE SERVICES                                                                    -        3,000,000      3,000,000
 32   DEFENCE PRODUCTION DIVISION                                                 -            1,140          1,140
 33   ECONOMIC AFFAIRS DIVISION                                                      -            985          985
 34   MISCELLANEOUS EXPENDITURE OF ECONOMIC                             -           14,026        14,026
      AFFAIRS DIVISION
 35   POWER DIVISION                                                                         -         578,837       578,837
 36   PETROLEUM DIVISION                                                                  -            1,112          1,112
 37   GEOLOGICAL SURVEY OF PAKISTAN                                             -            1,201          1,201

Page 33

   Statement of Demand-Wise Expenditure for Budget Estimates 2026-27 (Schedule I)
                                                                                                  (Rs. in million)
                                                               Budget Estimates 2026-27Demand
No.                       Ministries / Divisions                    Charged        Voted           Total
 38   FEDERAL EDUCATION AND PROFESSIONAL TRAINING                    -           42,748        42,748
       DIVISION
 39   HIGHER EDUCATION COMMISSION (HEC)                                       -           66,432        66,432
 40    NATIONAL RAHMATUL-LIL-AALAMEEN WA KHATAMUN                    -            116          116
      NABIYYIN AUTHORITY
 41    NATIONAL VOCATIONAL & TECHNICAL TRAINING                           -            1,092          1,092
     COMMISSION (NAVTTC)
 42    NATIONAL HERITAGE AND CULTURE DIVISION                               -            2,605          2,605
 43    FINANCE DIVISION                                                                       -            5,661          5,661
 44   OTHER EXPENDITURE OF FINANCE DIVISION                                 -            9,873          9,873
 45   CONTROLLER GENERAL OF ACCOUNTS                                        -           14,914        14,914
 46   SUPERANNUATION ALLOWANCES AND PENSIONS               6,936      1,162,064      1,169,000
 47   GRANTS SUBSIDIES AND MISCELLANEOUS                    57,000      2,504,467      2,561,467
     EXPENDITURE
 48   REVENUE DIVISION                                                                      -            106          106
 49   FEDERAL BOARD OF REVENUE                                                     -           85,604        85,604
 50   FOREIGN AFFAIRS DIVISION                                                         -            5,012          5,012
 51   FOREIGN MISSIONS                                         500        63,160        63,660
 52   HOUSING AND WORKS DIVISION                                                   -            5,925          5,925
 53   HUMAN RIGHTS DIVISION                                                             -            1,832          1,832
 54    NATIONAL COMISSION FOR HUMAN RIGHTS                                  -            271          271
 55    NATIONAL COMMISSION ON THE RIGHTS OF CHILD                        -             98           98
 56    NATIONAL COMMISSION ON THE STATUS OF WOMEN                    -            132          132

 57    INDUSTRIES AND PRODUCTION DIVISION                                     -           22,882        22,882
 58   INFORMATION AND BROADCASTING DIVISION                               -           11,015        11,015
 59   MISCELLANEOUS EXPENDITURE OF INFORMATION AND                 -           15,898        15,898
     BROADCASTING DIVISION
 60   INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY AND                                                 -           22,495        22,495
     TELECOMMUNICATION DIVISION
 61    INTERIOR AND NARCOTICS CONTROL DIVISION                             -           26,652        26,652
 62   OTHER EXPENDITURE OF INTERIOR DIVISION                                -           23,125        23,125
 63   ISLAMABAD CAPITAL TERRITORY (ICT)                                          -           23,221        23,221
 64   COMBINED CIVIL ARMED FORCES                                                 -         298,052       298,052
 65    NATIONAL COUNTER TERRORISM AUTHORITY                               -            1,356          1,356
 66    INTER-PROVINCIAL COORDINATION DIVISION                                -            3,171          3,171
 67   KASHMIR AFFAIRS, GILGIT-BALTISTAN AND STATES                       -            2,557          2,557
     AND FRONTIER REGIONS DIVISION
 68   LAW AND JUSTICE DIVISION                                  539        11,123        11,663
 69   FEDERAL JUDICIAL ACADEMY                                                       -            355          355
 70   FEDERAL SHARIAT COURT                                                           -            1,127          1,127
 71   COUNCIL OF ISLAMIC IDEOLOGY                                                   -            322          322
 72    NATIONAL ACCOUNTABILITY BUREAU                                           -            7,740          7,740
 73    DISTRICT JUDICIARY, ISLAMABAD CAPITAL TERRITORY                  -            1,848          1,848

Page 34

   Statement of Demand-Wise Expenditure for Budget Estimates 2026-27 (Schedule I)
                                                                                                  (Rs. in million)
                                                               Budget Estimates 2026-27Demand
No.                       Ministries / Divisions                    Charged        Voted           Total
 74    MARITIME AFFAIRS DIVISION                                                        -            2,344          2,344
 75    NATIONAL ASSEMBLY                                          7,969          9,036        17,005
 76   THE SENATE                                                   6,453          3,217          9,670
 77    NATIONAL FOOD SECURITY AND RESEARCH DIVISION                   -           22,232        22,232

 78    PAKISTAN AGRICULTURAL RESEARCH COUNCIL                            -            7,291          7,291
 79    NATIONAL HEALTH SERVICES, REGULATIONS AND                        -           37,222        37,222
     COORDINATION DIVISION
 80   OVERSEAS PAKISTANIS AND HUMAN RESOURCE                           -            3,735          3,735
     DEVELOPMENT DIVISION
 81   PARLIAMENTARY AFFAIRS DIVISION                                              -            1,209          1,209
 82    PLANNING, DEVELOPMENT AND SPECIAL INITIATIVES                    -            9,584          9,584
       DIVISION
 83   POVERTY ALLEVIATION AND SOCIAL SAFETY DIVISION                  -            806          806

 84    BENAZIR INCOME SUPPORT PROGRAME (BISP)                             -         844,780       844,780
 85    PAKISTAN BAIT-UL-MAL                                                                -           14,390        14,390
 86    PRIVATIZATION DIVISION                                                              -            1,330          1,330
 87   RAILWAYS DIVISION                                                                     -           70,478        70,478
 88    RELIGIOUS AFFAIRS AND INTER-FAITH HARMONY                          -            2,091          2,091
       DIVISION
 89   SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY DIVISION                                          -           15,974        15,974
 90   WATER RESOURCES DIVISION                                                      -            4,241          4,241
 91   FEDERAL MISCELLANEOUS INVESTMENTS AND OTHER                  -           94,715        94,715
     LOANS AND ADVANCES
 92   DEVELOPMENT EXPENDITURE OF CABINET DIVISION                     -           63,516        63,516
 93   DEVELOPMENT EXPENDITURE OF BOARD OF                                -            761          761
     INVESTMENT
 94   DEVELOPMENT EXPENDITURE OF SPECIAL                                   -            564          564
     TECHNOLOGY ZONES AUTHORITY
 95   DEVELOPMENT EXPENDITURE OF ESTABLISHMENT                       -            1,786          1,786
       DIVISION
 96   DEVELOPMENT EXPENDITURE OF SUPARCO                                 -            4,895          4,895
 97   DEVELOPMENT EXPENDITURE OF SIFC DIVISION                           -            480          480

 98   DEVELOPMENT EXP OF CLIMATE CHANGE AND ENV.                      -            2,478          2,478
     COORDINATION DIVISION
 99   DEVELOPMENT EXPENDITURE OF COMMERCE                              -             89           89
       DIVISION
100   DEVELOPMENT EXPENDITURE COMMUNICATION                           -            4,440          4,440
       DIVISION
101   DEVELOPMENT EXPENDITURE OF DEFENCE DIVISION                   -           10,903        10,903

102   DEVELOPMENT EXPENDITURE OF DEFENCE                                  -            980          980
     PRODUCTION DIVISION
103   DEVELOPMENT EXPENDITURE OF POWER DIVISION                      -            3,197          3,197
104   DEVELOPMENT EXPENDITURE OF FEDERAL                                  -           28,411        28,411
     EDUCATION & PR. TR. DIVISION

Page 35

   Statement of Demand-Wise Expenditure for Budget Estimates 2026-27 (Schedule I)
                                                                                                  (Rs. in million)
                                                               Budget Estimates 2026-27Demand
No.                       Ministries / Divisions                    Charged        Voted           Total
105   DEVELOPMENT EXPENDITURE OF HIGHER EDUCATION                  -           46,000        46,000
     COMMISSION
106   DEVELOPMENT EXPENDITURE OF NATIONAL                                 -            7,901          7,901
     VOCATIONAL & TECHNICAL TRAINING COMMISSION
      (NAVTTC)
107   DEVELOPMENT EXPENDITURE OF NATIONAL                                 -            445          445
     HERITAGE & CULTURE DIVISION
108   DEVELOPMENT EXPENDITURE OF FINANCE DIVISION                     -            1,440          1,440
109   OTHER DEVELOPMENT EXPENDITURE                                          -         231,086       231,086
110   DEVELOPMENT EXPENDITURE OF REVENUE DIVISION                   -           11,570        11,570

111   DEVELOPMENT EXPENDITURE OF INFORMATION &                        -            659          659
     BROADCASTING DIVISION
112   DEVELOPMENT EXPENDITURE INFORMATION                                -           19,580        19,580
     TECHNOLOGY & TELECOMMUNICATION DIVISION
113   DEVELOPMENT EXPENDITURE OF INTERIOR &                               -           21,825        21,825
     NARCOTICS CONTROL DIVISION
114   DEVELOPMENT EXPENDITURE OF INTER-PROVINCIAL                    -            1,851          1,851
     COORDINATION DIVISION
115   DEVELOPMENT EXP. OF K.A, GB & SAFRON DIVISION                     -            623          623
116   DEVELOPMENT EXPENDITURE OF LAW & JUSTICE                         -            2,403          2,403
       DIVISION
117   DEVELOPMENT EXPENDITURE OF NATIONAL FOOD                       -            4,183          4,183
      SECURITY AND RESEARCH DIVISION
118   DEVELOPMENT EXPENDITURE OF NATIONAL HEALTH                    -           16,065        16,065
      SERVICES, REGULATION AND COORD. DIVISION
119   DEVELOPMENT EXPENDITURE OF PRIVIATISATION                        -            410          410
       DIVISION
120   DEVELOPMENT EXPENDITURE OF PLANNING,                                -           27,626        27,626
     DEVELOPMENT AND SPECIAL INITIATIVES DIVISION
121   DEVELOPMENT EXPENDITURE OF RELIGIOUS AFFAIRS                  -            312          312
     AND INTER FAITH HAROMONY DIVISION
122   DEVELOPMENT EXPENDITURE OF SCIENCE &                                -            3,567          3,567
     TECHNOLOGY DIVISION
123   DEVELOPMENT EXPENDITURE OF WATER RESOURCES                 -           55,251        55,251
       DIVISION
124   CAPITAL OUTLAY ON DEVELOPMENT OF ATOMIC                           -            1,335          1,335
     ENERGY
125   EXTERNAL DEVELOPMENT LOANS AND ADVANCES OF                   -           59,255        59,255
     COMMUNICATION DIVISION
126   CAPITAL OUTLAY ON PETROLEUM DIVISION                                  -            312          312
127   EXTERNAL DEVELOPMENT LOANS AND ADVANCES OF                   -           76,608        76,608
    POWER DIVISION
128   CAPITAL OUTLAY ON FEDERAL INVESTMENTS                               -            2,360          2,360
129   DEVELOPMENT LOANS AND ADVANCES BY THE                             169,210       169,210
     FEDERAL GOVERNMENT
130   EXTERNAL DEVELOPMENT LOANS AND ADVANCES BY        607,309          2,300       609,609
     THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT
131   CAPITAL OUTLAY ON CIVIL WORKS                                               -           16,395        16,395
132   CAPITAL OUTLAY ON INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT                          -            6,658          6,658

Page 36

   Statement of Demand-Wise Expenditure for Budget Estimates 2026-27 (Schedule I)
                                                                                                  (Rs. in million)
                                                               Budget Estimates 2026-27Demand
No.                       Ministries / Divisions                    Charged        Voted           Total
133   CAPITAL OUTLAY ON MARITIME AFFAIRS DIVISION                         -            1,780          1,780
134   CAPITAL OUTLAY ON RAILWAY DIVISION                                       -           40,658        40,658
135   EXTERNAL DEVELOPMENT LOANS AND ADVANCES OF                   -           47,835        47,835
     WATER RESOURCE DIVISION
     STAFF HOUSEHOLD & ALLOWANCES OF THE
                                                                 964                        964        PRESIDENT(PUBLIC)
     STAFF HOUSEHOLD & ALLOWANCES OF THE
                                                                       1,837                        1,837        PRESIDENT(PERSONAL)
      SERVICING OF FOREIGN DEBT                              1,071,393                     1,071,393
     FOREIGN LOANS REPAYMENT                               5,836,275                     5,836,275
     REPAYMENT OF SHORT TERM FOREIGN CREDITS            130,292                      130,292
      AUDIT                                                          9,820                        9,820
      SERVICING OF DOMESTIC DEBT                             6,982,607                     6,982,607
     REPAYMENT OF DOMESTIC DEBT                          25,992,201                   25,992,201
     SUPREME COURT                                              7,441                        7,441
     ISLAMABAD HIGH COURT                                       2,367                        2,367
      ELECTION                                                    10,578                       10,578
     FEDERAL OMBUDSMAN SECRETARIAT FOR
     PROTECTION AGAINST HARASSMENT OF WOMEN AT            259                        259
     WORKPLACE
     WAFAQI MOHTASIB                                             2,124                        2,124
     FEDERAL TAX OMBUDSMAN                                  646                        646
     FEDERAL CONSTITUTIONAL COURT OF PAKISTAN               6,048                        6,048
                    TOTAL                                 40,741,560     10,414,649     51,156,209

Page 37

     Statement of Object Classification Wise Expenditure (Schedule III)
                                                                          Rs. In million
                                            Budget      Revised      Budget
  Object
                       Description               Estimates     Estimates     Estimates
  Code
                                                2025-26       2025-26       2026-27

A01       Total Employees Related Expenses       1,438,843     1,454,913     1,608,289
A011     Pay                                      247,602       249,171       253,090
 A011-1  Pay of Officer                               81,592        83,234        85,757
 A011-2  Pay of Other Staff                          166,009       165,936       167,333
A012     Allowances                              1,191,241     1,205,743     1,355,198
 A012-1  Regular Allowances                       1,147,312     1,154,803     1,305,510
 A012-2  Other Allowances (Excluding TA)              43,929        50,939        49,688
A02       Project Pre-investment Analysis              2,720         1,976         2,399
A03      Operating Expenses                      1,782,380     1,806,184     2,008,258
A04      Employees Retirement Benefits           1,065,034     1,064,592     1,176,179
A05       Grants, Subsidies & Write off Loans       3,103,344     2,709,803     3,739,676
A06       Transfers                                  16,982       148,515        20,192
A07       Interest Payment                         8,207,255     6,937,464     8,054,005
A08      Loans and Advances                     1,238,381     1,206,436     1,050,605
A09       Physical Assets                           720,174       718,256       971,378
A10       Principal Repayments of Loans          19,679,231    30,140,505    31,958,778
A11      Investments                              187,091       294,445       100,234
A12        Civil Works                               390,294       409,035       438,754
A13      Repairs and Maintenance                   23,573        28,525        27,463

             TOTAL EXPENDITURE           37,855,301    46,920,650    51,156,209

Page 38

   Statement of Contingent Liabilities of the Federal Government

1.     Contingent liabilities of Pakistan are primarily comprise of guarantees issued
on  behalf  of Public Sector  Enterprises (PSEs). The sovereign guarantees  are
normally extended to enhance the  financial  viability of projects and  activities
undertaken by government entities which generate significant social and economic
benefits. Such guarantees enable public sector entities to access finances at lower
costs or on more favourable terms and in certain cases, fulfil requirements where a
sovereign guarantee is a precondition for concessional finances from bilateral and
multilateral agencies to sub-sovereign borrowers.
2.    The volume of new government guarantees issued during a financial year is
limited under the Fiscal Responsibility and Debt Limitation Act, 2005 (as amended
to date) which stipulates that the Government shall not issue guarantees aggregating
to an amount exceeding two percent of the GDP in any financial year, including
those relating to rupee lending, rate of return, outright purchase agreements, and
other claims and commitments, provided that the renewal of existing guarantees shall
be treated as issuance of a new guarantee.
3.     During July-March FY2026, the Government issued fresh rollover guarantees
aggregating to PKR 769 billion, equivalent to 0.61 percent of estimated GDP. The
outstanding stock of guarantees stood PKR 4,322 billion as of end-March 2026. This
amount also includes guarantees issued for commodity operations undertaken by
Federal Government SOEs namely Trading Corporation of Pakistan (TCP) and
Pakistan Agriculture Storage & Services Corporation (PASSCO), which amounted to
PKR 895 billion as of end March-2026.

Page 39

Table-1: Summary of Outstanding Government Guarantees          (Rs in billion)

                                   Outstanding Guarantees  Total Guarantees
 Domestic                                                2,259              2,395
 External                                                 2,063              2,075
 Total                                                   4,322              4,470
Memo:
 External (US$ in million)                                 7,391              7,435
 Exchange Rate (Pak Rupee/US Dollar)                      279.1              279.1

4.      Sector, entity and interest rate wise share of the guarantees as of end March
2026 are as follows:

Table 2: Outstanding Position of GoP Guarantees
                                                   Rs in billion % age
                               Sector Wise Breakup
 Total Outstanding Stock                                             4,322  100%
- Power Sector                                                        2,426   56%
- Commodities Operations Financing                                  895   21%
- Aviation                                                       269   6%
- Financial                                                       166   4%
- Others                                                         567   13%
                               Entity Wise Breakup
Total Outstanding Stock                                              4,322  100%
- PAEC                                                              1,562   36%
- CPPA-G                                                       660   15%
- PASSCO                                                       528   12%
- TCP                                                           366   8%
- Others                                                              1,206   28%
                                   Interest Rate Type
Total Outstanding Stock                                              4,322  100%
- Floating Rate                                                        2,216   51%
- Fixed Rate                                                          2,106   49%
Note: The original maturities of major portion of Guaranteed Debt Stock were 5 years and
above

Page 40

5.          The estimates of guarantees to be issued from April 2026  till June
2027 are as follows:

Table 3: Estimated Guarantees Issuance and Position (Q4 FY 26 and FY 27)
(Rs in billion)
  A    Opening Guaranteed Debt Position (31-03-2026)                      4,322
  B   New Guarantees to be Issued (Q4 FY26 & FY27)                     907
            - REKO DIQ                                                    223
            - ML 3 Rail Project                                               113
            - C-5 Power Project                                              221
            - PPP Projects                                                    90
            - WAPDA                                                       50
            - NGC                                                          19
            - PSO                                                          50
            - Credit Guarantee Schemes                                         80
            - Exim Bank                                                     10
            - Misc/Contingencies                                              50
  C    Estimated Repayments against existing Guaranteed Loans            224
D=B-C  Net Issuance of Guarantees (Q4 FY26 & FY27)                      683
 A+D   Estimated Closing Guaranteed Debt Position (30-06-2027)            5,005

Note
(i)   Expected external guarantees are converted into PKR at exchange rate of 290
(ii)  The estimates are developed based on requests received from different PSEs and
issuing wings during the ongoing Fiscal Year. This amount excludes roll-overs
(iii) The guarantees of which LoCs have already been issued before March 2026 are
incorporated in Opening Guaranteed Debt Position as at End March 2026
(iv) Opening Stock includes guarantees issued for Commodity Operations by TCP &
PASSCO which was mentioned separately in previous statements

Page 41

                  Statement of Fiscal Risks

1.   INTRODUCTION
The Statement of Fiscal Risks FY2026-27 provides a comprehensive assessment of
key risks that could affect Pakistan’s fiscal outlook. It covers macroeconomic,
revenue, debt, SOE, climate change, natural disasters, commodity financing and
global price shocks. In comparison to the FY 2025-26 budget estimates, the
quantified deviations are presented as percentage points of GDP. By estimating the
potential fiscal impact of these risks,  it also proposes mitigation measures to
support fiscal discipline, strengthen risk management, and enhance the resilience
of public finances.

ANALYSIS OF FISCAL RISKS
MACROECONOMIC RISKS
Macroeconomic risks mainly arise from a slowdown in economic activity, which
could lead to weaker-than-expected real GDP growth and affect the fiscal stance. A
1 percentage point decline in real GDP growth could lower government revenues
through reduced tax  collections, while also increasing expenditure pressures,
particularly on social safety nets. The combined impact is estimated to widen the
fiscal deficit by around 0.2 percent of GDP in FY2026-27. Under this scenario,
upward pressure on inflation and exchange rate depreciation could further strain
public finances.

REVENUE-RELATED RISKS
Revenue  collection remains exposed  to lower  tax  elasticity, slowdown  in
economic activity, shortfalls in non-tax receipts, and structural challenges in
reducing the tax gap. The FY2026-27 revenue projections are based on continued
administrative reforms, rationalization of tax structures, and expansion of the tax
base. However, if tax revenue grows lower than expected, for instance, 10 percent

Page 42

lower than budget estimates, it could result in a reduction of 0.7 percent of GDP
from the budget estimates in FY 2026-27. Revenue risks may also arise from a 30
percent decline in SBP surplus profits, which could increase the deficit by around
0.3 percent of GDP in FY 2026-27. Similarly, a 20 percent shortfall in petroleum
levy collection could add 0.2 percent of GDP to the fiscal deficit in FY 2026-27.
Moreover,  tax  expenditures remain a  significant  structural revenue  risk  as
expanded exemptions and concessions could widen the fiscal deficit by 1.3 percent
of GDP in FY 2026-27 estimates.
DEBT-RELATED FISCAL RISKS
Debt servicing costs represent a significant fiscal vulnerability, as the debt
portfolio remains exposed to interest rate movements, exchange rate depreciation,
and refinancing pressures. A 200-basis point increase in domestic interest rates and
a 100-basis point rise in external interest rates could raise interest payments beyond
budgeted estimate, widening the fiscal deficit by an estimated
0.4 percent of GDP. Exchange rate depreciation could also increase the rupee
cost of external debt servicing, although its impact on the FY2026-27 fiscal deficit is
expected to remain relatively limited due to stable exchange rate. Refinancing
risks may further increase if there is greater reliance on short-term instruments,
which could weaken the debt maturity profile, raise rollover requirements, and
expose the budget to higher interest rate volatility. Under this scenario, the fiscal
deficit could increase by around 0.8 percent of GDP compared to FY2026-27
budget estimates.
STATE-OWNED ENTERPRISES RELATED FISCAL RISKS
State-Owned Enterprises pose fiscal risks through lower dividend payments and
higher  government   financial  support   to  loss-making   entities.   Structural
inefficiencies, weak governance, and the burden of public service obligations
continue to affect SOE profitability and may reduce their net earnings. A 6.0
percent shortfall in SOE dividend payments is estimated to widen the fiscal

Page 43

deficit by around 0.02 percent of GDP against the FY2026-27 target. However,
substantial fiscal risk may arise from increased government financial support to
SOEs. Under this scenario, if financial support reaches 1.5 percent of GDP,  it
could increase the fiscal deficit by around 0.4 percent of GDP relative to FY2026-
27 estimates. Henceforth, while lower dividend payments may have a modest direct
fiscal impact, continued support for loss-making SOEs could create significant
pressure on the fiscal position.
CLIMATE CHANGE-RELATED FISCAL RISKS
The fiscal impact of climate change varies across mitigation and high-emission
scenarios. Under RCP 2.6, which represents an ideal mitigation pathway, higher
spending on green infrastructure, climate adaptation, and mitigation measures could
raise the fiscal deficit by around 0.2 percent of GDP relative to the FY2026-27
budget baseline. However, these investments are expected to support economic
activity and strengthen climate resilience over the medium term, particularly if
backed by private-sector participation and international climate financing.
In contrast, under RCP 8.5, which reflects a high-emission and adverse climate
pathway, the near-term fiscal impact is estimated to remain limited, increasing the
fiscal deficit by around 0.01 percent of GDP in FY2027. However, this risk could
rise significantly over the medium term if climate-related shocks become more
frequent  and  severe,  leading  to  higher  infrastructure  damage,  emergency
spending, agricultural losses, and weaker revenue collection. These projections
suggest that climate risks may appear modest in the short run, but could create a
growing fiscal burden  if adaptation, mitigation, and climate financing efforts
remain insufficient.
NATURAL DISASTERS RELATED FISCAL RISKS
Natural disasters remain one of the largest fiscal risks, given Pakistan's exposure
to floods, droughts, heatwaves, and other climate-related shocks. These events
frequently cause unexpected fiscal pressures, necessitating immediate, unbudgeted
expenditure  for emergency  relief.  Without  dedicated  disaster  risk  financing

Page 44

mechanisms, an average disaster event could increase the fiscal deficit to 1.5 percent
of GDP, constituting the largest deviation among all identified fiscal risks. However,
with disaster risk financing, the fiscal outlook changes. Under this scenario, the
fiscal deficit for FY2026-27 will increase by 0.4 percent of GDP.
OTHER FISCAL RISKS
COMMODITY FINANCING OPERATIONS AND FISCAL RISK
The Federal Government faces significant fiscal exposure arising from guarantees
issued to provincial governments and Public Sector Enterprises for commodity
financing operations. Assuming a 25 percent probability of guarantees' actualization,
the federal fiscal deficit could increase by 0.1 percent of GDP in FY2026-27.
GLOBAL COMMODITY PRICE SHOCK AND FISCAL RISK
Statement of Fiscal Risk identifies significant fiscal vulnerabilities associated with a
potential rise in global oil prices particularly in the context of current Middle East
conflict, which may likely result in contraction of petroleum levy receipts and an
increase in energy-related subsidies. An international oil price shock during FY
2026-27 with a likely decision to waive full price pass-through to domestic
consumers would result in a decline in petroleum levy receipts. At the same time,
to  protect  domestic  consumers,  particularly  low-income  households,  the
Government would need  to  raise  subsidies. Rising  international  oil prices,
specifically a $40 per barrel increase, are projected to add 0.8 percent of GDP to
the fiscal deficit in FY 2026-27.
2.    FISCAL RISK MITIGATION STRATEGIES
The  Government's  fiscal-risk  mitigation  strategy  is  based on  four  pillars:
maintaining a credible macro-fiscal framework, strengthening revenue mobilization
and expenditure discipline, reducing contingent  liabilities, and  building  fiscal
buffers  against  shocks. Immediate  priorities  include protecting the primary
surplus,  improving  tax  compliance,   rationalizing  untargeted   subsidies,
strengthening debt management, and enhancing monitoring of SOEs, guarantees,

Page 45

commodity operations, and climate-related fiscal exposures.
To mitigate revenue-related  fiscal  risks, the Government has established a
dedicated tax policy function while strengthening tax administration, risk-based
enforcement, and digital integration. Over the medium term, reforms prioritize
broadening the tax base, rationalizing exemptions, and enhancing economic
documentation. Furthermore, policy design focuses on simplifying procedures
and  safeguarding  petroleum  levy  and  non-tax  revenue  through  increased
transparency and inter-provincial coordination.
The financial performance of the SOE portfolio is improving through rigorous
performance-based contracts and the accelerated privatization or liquidation of
non-strategic, loss-making entities. These measures are expected to mitigate the
recurring flow of liabilities that currently challenge medium-term fiscal targets.
Further, the gap between climate action underscores that investing in green
projects is not merely an environmental consideration but a critical strategy for
resilience and prudent fiscal management.
This Statement of Fiscal Risks provides policymakers and stakeholders with a
clear, quantified view of key fiscal vulnerabilities that could affect the fiscal
outlook  over  the medium  term.   It  recognizes  uncertainties  in  economic
conditions and external shocks, while proposing proactive, cross-sectoral actions
to enhance fiscal resilience, improve transparency, and maintain macro-fiscal
stability and ongoing challenges.

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    STATEMENT OF ESTIMATED TAX EXPENDITURE

          Section 8 of the Public Finance Management Act, 2019 provides that the
Federal Government shall, in respect of every financial year cause to be laid before
the National Assembly, Finance Bill consistent with Article 73 of the Constitution
including a statement of estimated tax expenditure of the Federal Government.
2.     Tax Expenditure Report 2026 providing the details of tax expenditure in
FY2024-25 which involves tax expenditure of Sales Tax of Rs. 1,273.97 billion, a
tax expenditure of Income Tax of Rs. 579.69 billion, and a tax expenditure of
Customs Duty of Rs. 499.13 billion, arriving at a total estimated tax expenditure of
Rs. 2,352.8 billion, is being laid before the Parliament.

                                                    (Rashid Mahmood)
                                                 Chairman FBR/ Secretary
                                                     Revenue Division
Dated: 12th June, 2026

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            Medium-Term Budgetary Statement
                  (FY2026-27 to FY2028-29)
       Federal Government presents the Medium-Term Budgetary Statement as part
of the Annual Budget Statement  in accordance with Section 5 of the  Fiscal
Responsibility and Debt Limitation Act, 2005 (as amended to date). The Statement
describes  the Government’s medium-term  fiscal  strategy aimed  at  preserving
macroeconomic stability, strengthening fiscal sustainability, reducing public debt
vulnerabilities, and fostering sustainable and inclusive economic growth.

       In FY2025-26,  Pakistan's economy made  significant  progress  towards
stabilization, with focus shifting to growth led through export and taxation reforms.
Improvements in economic activity, external sector stability, fiscal performance, and
investor  confidence have  strengthened  the  foundations  for  higher and more
sustainable growth. Building on these gains, the Government remains committed to
advancing reforms that enhance productivity, competitiveness, exports, investment,
digital transformation, and private sector-led growth over the medium term.

        Fiscal policy over the medium term will remain anchored in the principles of
sustainability, efficiency, and transparency. The Government will continue pursuing
fiscal   consolidation  through   sustained  revenue   mobilization,   expenditure
rationalization, and strengthened public  financial management. Tax policy and
administration reforms, including broadening of the tax base, digitalization of tax
processes,  enhanced  compliance  measures,  and  modernization  of  revenue
administration, are expected to strengthen domestic resource mobilization and create
fiscal space for priority expenditures while maintaining a primary surplus and a
declining fiscal deficit trajectory.

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     On  the  expenditure  side,  the Government  will  continue  to  prioritize
allocations that support human development, social protection, economic growth,
and national resilience. Special emphasis has been placed on education, health,
poverty alleviation, youth development, and gender-responsive interventions. To
improve access to healthcare services, an additional allocation of Rs. 1 billion has
been provided  in FY2026-27  for  the provision  of  free medicines  in Federal
Government hospitals. Enhanced grant allocations have also been made to the
Higher Education Commission to support higher education and research, while
funding for the Benazir Income Support Programme (BISP) has been strengthened to
protect vulnerable segments of society and promote social inclusion.

      The Government remains committed to maintaining adequate investment in
development priorities through the Public Sector Development Programme, with a
focus on infrastructure, water resources, energy, information technology, climate
resilience, and productive sectors of the economy. At the same time, expenditure
efficiency will be enhanced through continued austerity measures, rightsizing of
government functions, pension reforms, improved public investment management,
and outcome-oriented budgeting.

       Recognizing the growing fiscal implications of climate change and natural
disasters,  the Government  is  strengthening  climate-responsive  budgeting  and
disaster-risk management  within  the medium-term  fiscal framework. Ongoing
reforms have been designed to integrate AI into public finance management through
development of an AI-enabled digital infrastructure for climate budgeting in Pakistan.
This  will improve the overall efficiency of the tagging process, transparency,
resource allocation, and monitoring of climate-related expenditures. These initiatives
are expected to strengthen  fiscal resilience while supporting Pakistan’s climate
adaptation and sustainability objectives.

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      Over the medium term, the Government will continue to pursue prudent debt
management  policies aimed  at  reducing  fiscal  vulnerabilities,  extending  debt
maturities,  diversifying financing  sources, and containing  debt-servicing  costs.
Supported by  continued  structural  reforms, improved  fiscal  governance, and
responsible macroeconomic management, the medium-term budgetary framework
seeks to balance the objectives of economic growth, social protection, development,
and fiscal sustainability, thereby laying the foundation for a more resilient and
prosperous economy.

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                   Climate Budget Statement
Climate change continues to pose significant economic, fiscal, environmental, and
social challenges to Pakistan, requiring sustained policy attention and resource
allocation. Recognizing the macro-fiscal implications of climate and disaster-related
risks, the Federal Government has adopted climate budgeting as a governance
mechanism  to  mainstream  climate  considerations  into  planning,  budgeting,
implementation, monitoring, and reporting across federal ministries, divisions, and
departments. This approach supports informed decision-making and strengthens the
integration of climate priorities into public financial management systems.

Climate Budget Tagging (CBT) has been institutionalized to identify, track, and
report climate-responsive expenditures in accordance with national climate policy
priorities. Through a consultative process involving relevant stakeholders, more than
5,000 cost centres have been mapped within the SAP system under adaptation,
mitigation, and other supporting climate-related categories. The Government has
further strengthened the climate budgeting framework through the operationalization
of a comprehensive Climate Budget Governance System, enabling more systematic
monitoring and reporting of climate-related public expenditures.

As part of the Budget Call Circular, Green Budgeting has been introduced as an
integral component of fiscal risk management. Ministries, divisions, and departments
are  required  to  identify  and  report  expenditures  related  to  climate  action,
environmental protection, renewable energy, sustainable agriculture, biodiversity
conservation, disaster preparedness, and other green economy initiatives. In addition,
disaster budget tagging has been introduced to improve the  identification and
reporting of disaster-related expenditures and strengthen fiscal preparedness against
natural and climate-induced disasters.

Page 51

The scope of climate budgeting has also been expanded beyond expenditure. Climate
tagging has been extended to subsidies, grants, and climate-relevant revenues to
provide a more comprehensive assessment of climate-related fiscal interventions.
These measures will facilitate improved monitoring of climate-responsive spending
and revenue measures and support evidence-based policy formulation.

To further advance these reforms, Finance Division has developed an AI-enabled
digital infrastructure for climate budgeting comprising climate budget tracking, AI-
assisted climate budget tagging, and digitized reporting mechanisms. An integrated
dashboard, linked with SAP, will enable ministries, divisions, and departments to
submit climate-related information through AI-supported digital forms and access
analytical reports, thereby improving the quality, consistency, transparency, and
accessibility of climate budget information.

For FY2026-27, climate-responsive allocations constitute 1 percent of the current
budget and 11 percent of the development budget. At least 44% of subsidies are
favorably climate-responsive either directly or indirectly.  These allocations reflect
the  Government's  continued commitment  to  strengthening  climate  resilience,
supporting mitigation efforts, managing disaster-related fiscal risks, and promoting
sustainable and green economic development through targeted fiscal interventions.

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                 Gender Budget Statement
Article 25 of the Constitution of the Islamic Republic of Pakistan, 1973 provides for
equality of all citizens before the law and prohibits discrimination on the basis of sex,
while Article 34 directs the State to ensure full participation of women in all spheres
of national life. In line with these constitutional provisions, the Federal Government
remains  committed  to  reducing  gender  disparities  and  promoting  inclusive
development through gender-responsive budgeting.

Gender inequality continues to remain a structural challenge, with gaps observed
across  key  development  indicators  including  education,  health,  employment,
economic participation, and access to opportunities. Addressing these disparities is
essential not only for ensuring social equity but also for realizing the full economic
potential  of  the  country.  In  this  context,  gender-responsive  public  financial
management has been strengthened as an integral part of budget formulation and
policy planning.

A key constraint in advancing gender-sensitive policy-making is the availability and
quality of gender-disaggregated data. To address this gap, the Federal Government
has institutionalized gender budget tagging to identify, classify, and monitor gender-
relevant public expenditure across ministries, divisions, and departments. More than
5,000 cost centres of the federal budget have been mapped under six major gender
classifications, including: (i) equality and quality in education, (ii) health and well-
being, (iii) governance and data systems, (iv) employment and economic opportunity,
(v) safety and security, and  (vi) agency,  political participation and meaningful
engagement.  This  framework  enables  improved  tracking  of  gender-sensitive
allocations and supports evidence-based policy formulation.

Page 53

Gender-responsive budgeting also contributes to monitoring progress on cross-
cutting Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs),  particularly  in  areas such  as
education, health, nutrition, and social inclusion.  It strengthens transparency in
public expenditure by enabling policymakers  to  assess  the gender impact  of
government programs and initiatives more effectively.

For FY2026-27, gender-responsive allocations constitute 9% percent of the current
budget and 8% percent of the development budget. These allocations reflect the
Government’s continued commitment  to promoting gender  equality, improving
women’s access to education, health, and economic opportunities, and strengthening
institutional mechanisms for gender mainstreaming across public sector programs
and projects.

Page 54

                    Disaster Budget Statement
Disaster risk in Pakistan is shaped by a combination of extreme natural events and
underlying vulnerabilities, which are further exacerbated by the impacts of climate
change. Owing to its diverse geography and evolving climatic patterns, Pakistan
remains highly exposed to multiple forms of natural disasters.

In response to these challenges, the Government of Pakistan has established a
comprehensive  institutional and legal framework for disaster  risk management,
including the enactment of relevant laws, establishment of disaster management
authorities at the federal and provincial levels, and creation of dedicated disaster risk
management  funds. These measures aim  to  strengthen  preparedness, improve
response mechanisms, and enhance recovery and reconstruction capacity.

Recognizing the need for improved fiscal transparency and evidence-based policy-
making, the Federal Government has institutionalized disaster budget tagging as part
of  public  financial  management  reforms.  This  initiative  enables  systematic
identification, classification, and tracking of disaster-related expenditures across
federal ministries, divisions, and departments. More than 5,000 cost centres have
been mapped under four major disaster classifications, namely Disaster Preparedness,
Disaster Response, Recovery & Rehabilitation, and Reconstruction.

Building upon this framework, the Budget Call Circular for FY2026-27 has further
strengthened disaster-responsive budgeting through the introduction of a structured
classification  system.  This  includes  standardized  coding  of  disaster-related
expenditures (DRPPS, DRRSE, DRRRN, and DRRCN) and  categorization  of
activities based on  their relevance to the National Disaster Management Plan.
Expenditures are assessed according to defined weighting groups reflecting their

Page 55

direct or indirect contribution to disaster risk reduction, preparedness, response,
recovery, and reconstruction outcomes.

This enhanced framework improves consistency in reporting, strengthens  inter-
agency coordination, and enables better alignment of public spending with disaster
risk management priorities. It also supports improved monitoring and evaluation of
fiscal resources allocated for disaster resilience and recovery.

For FY2026-27, disaster-responsive allocations constitute 4% percent of the current
and 0.04% of development budget. These allocations  reflect the Government’s
continued commitment to strengthening disaster preparedness, improving emergency
response systems, and enhancing recovery and reconstruction capacity in order to
reduce the human and economic impact of natural disasters.

Page 56

                         Government of Pakistan
                            Finance Division

         STATEMENT OF RESPONSIBILITY
       Stated that all policy decisions with material economic or fiscal implications
that the Federal Government has made before 12 th June 2026, the day on which
the  contents  of  the economic policy statements were  finalized and  all  other
circumstances with material economic or fiscal implications of which I was aware
before that day, have been communicated to the Secretary of Finance in terms of
Section 10(1)(a) of Fiscal Responsibility and Debt Limitation Act, 2005 (as amended
to date).
   The statement to the best of my knowledge provides for: -
          a.    The integrity of the disclosures contained in the economic
              policy statement;
         b.     the consistency with requirements of the Act of the
              information contained in the economic policy statements; and
               the omission from the economic policy statement of any          c.
              decision or circumstance specified in sub-section (3) of section
            8 of the Act.

                                   (Muhammad Aurangzeb)
                                                Minister for Finance and Revenue

Page 57

                         Government of Pakistan
                            Finance Division

             STATEMENT OF RESPONSIBILITY

        Stated that the Finance Division, in terms of Section 10(1)(b) of Fiscal
Responsibility and Debt Limitation Act, 2005 (as amended to date), has supplied
to the Minister for Finance and Revenue, using its best professional judgment on
the basis of economic and fiscal information available to  it before 1 2 th June
2026, the day on which the contents of the economic policy statements were
finalized, an economic and fiscal statement incorporating the fiscal and economic
implications  of  those  decisions  and  circumstances,  but  any  decisions  or
circumstances that the Minister for Finance and Revenue has determined under Sub-
section (3) of Section 8 of the Fiscal Responsibility and Debt Limitation Act 2005
(as amended to date) have not been incorporated in the statement.

                              IMDAD ULLAH BOSAL
                                           Secretary to the Government of Pakistan
Finance Division
Islamabad, the 12th June, 2026